Labour shortages mean higher wages

(20 February 2020) There seems to be a bit of a fuss, at the moment, about the Government’s proposals to further restrict immigration. I imagine they know what they are doing though some suggest the motives are political rather than economic.

Some businesses have bemoaned the fact that they rely on foreign workers- especially the low paid, as British residents won’t take the jobs.

This is a demonstration of the principle of failure to understand that the world is dynamic, ever changing and not static.

For example,a popular sandwich chain complained that a tiny % of their job applications in London were from British nationals. They, rightly, wish to continue their business at current levels.

However the sandwich and light refreshment industry need not be so large. Every High Street is full of such places.

If they are only inexpensive and convenient due to the low wages paid to front line staff and most of us can probably make our own sandwiches is there actually a need for so many?

Simple economics tells us that an increase in wages and improvement in conditions would lead to more job applications, raise prices and reduce the number of such establishments.

Is that necessarily a bad thing?

Similarly basic agricultural work would raise prices – but it also increases the wages of the workers so they can now afford to buy more expensive sandwiches (if they wanted to). Etc. Simple Keynesian economics.

People have pointed out the issues with the social care industry but this is wider than just low wages and is actually about the failure of successive governments to set up a proper Social Care Service.

Finally a Universal Basic Income (or negative income tax as it was known in the past) scheme would provide a sensible underpinning for many of the basic but necessary roles required in society. I will return to this at a future date

And here is a picture of a kitten.

The Chicken Theory (or how THEY delude us that life is improving).

Everything has to start somewhere so we start with the Chicken Theory (and a picture of a tiny kitten to represent beginning).

For several hundred years chickens were relatively rare and eaten only as a special meal by the mass of ordinary folk. The wealthy, of course, stuffed themselves as much as they desired.

Nowadays, we eat as much as we want. And it is cheap. My regular supermarket (no name no sponsorship) sells them at £2.07 per kg.

However this is a mutated version of those proud chickens our ancestors ate. Follow the link to read about chicken growth.

American chickens

However the wealthy also eat chickens- but not these ordinary ones; my supermarket sells organic free range ones at £7.45 per kg. -over 300% more expensive.

Thus the Chicken Theory is simply that we happily mimic the behaviour of the wealthy while consuming an inferior product.

Caveat- many will argue that chicken is wholesome see the British Poultry Council. https://www.britishpoultry.org.uk/

Tiny Kitten

Shouting at the Internet

(14 January 2020) In a harsh and puzzling world, with the weather becoming more extreme, inequality and the oceans rising and foodbanks in one of the richer countries in the world I think we are at the edge of a new paradigm.

We, since roughly the mid 1660s, have been in the Age of Expansion. This was characterised by new resources becoming available as the planet was explored and exploited . However we are reaching natural limits and cannot continue as we were. To survive as a species we need to enter what I, provisionally, call The Age of Sustainability . Over the coming months I intend to explore this.

I have also never built a website so it will take some time to work it out and to avoid being too grim I will put on some pictures of kittens.